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Polling Fatigue?

“According to the latest polls, 80 percent of the people polled are sick and tired of hearing about the latest polls.” –Jay Leno



Obama Campaign Manager: Take Nothing for Granted

“We are not going to take anything for granted anywhere.

You don’t take anything for granted. You go as hard as you can till the end.”

                                                Jim Messina, Campaign Manager for Barack Obama


How the Obama Campaign Built It! – Grassroots!



[gras-roots, -roots, grahs-] Show IPA

noun ( used with a singular or plural verb ) Also, grass roots .

the common or ordinary people, especially as contrasted with the leadership or elite of a political party, social organization, etc.; the rank and file.                                                                     dictionary.com
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Numbers from Jim Messina, Obama Campaign Manager, and Jeremy Bird, Obama National Field Director, in a press conference call today:

5,117 - local neighborhood offices opened this morning by the Obama campaign in the battleground states that will decide this election

698,799 – number of shifts Obama volunteers signed up for in the last four days of the campaign

1,792,261 – number of voters registered by Obama volunteers in key battleground states– nearly double the number of voters the Obama campaign registered in 2008.

137,808 – number of voters registered by the Obama campaign in North Carolina who already voted, a state Obama won by just 14,000 votes in 2008

125,646,479 – personal phone calls or door knocks that resulted in conversations with voters (this doesn’t count robo calls on auto-dialers, mail, literature drops or any other non-volunteer, non-personal contacts).

1.4 million – number of non-midterm Democrats who have voted already

840,000 – number of non-midterm Republicans who have voted already (compare to Democrats’ voting above)

65% – percent of remaining votes Republicans must get in North Carolina to win the election

59% – percent of remaining votes Republicans must get in Iowa and Colorado to win the election

55% – percent of remaining votes Republicans must get in Florida and Ohio to win the election

52% – percent of remaining votes Republicans must get in Virginia and Wisconsin to win the election


Americans Expect Obama to be Re-Elected

“According to a Gallup poll released on Wednesday, Americans expect Obama to be re-elected by 54 percent to 34 percent. Among those believing that Obama will win were most independents and almost a fifth of Republicans.”

NY Times Op-Ed by Charles M. Blow here.


83.7% – Obama’s Chances of Winning!


November 3, 2012, 9:33 am

Nov. 2: For Romney to Win, State Polls Must Be Statistically Biased



“President Obama is now better than a 4-in-5 favorite to win the Electoral College, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast. His chances of winning it increased to 83.7 percent on Friday, his highest figure since the Denver debate and improved from 80.8 percent on Thursday.”

538 Column here

My comment to the NY Times on this article:


London, UK


New York Mayor Bloomberg Endorses Obama









New York’s Mayor, Michael Bloomberg, has endorsed Barack Obama for President.

If you’re a cynic, you may wonder why the Mayor did this.  After all, Bloomberg was the one who said neither candidate was good enough.

Today in his own Bloomberg News, he wrote:

“The devastation that Hurricane Sandy brought to New York City and much of the Northeast — in lost lives, lost homes and lost business — brought the stakes of next Tuesday’s presidential election into sharp relief.”

Bloomberg had the cajones to call Mitt Romney on his lies. He said,

“Mitt Romney, too, has a history of tackling climate change. As governor of Massachusetts, he signed on to a regional cap- and-trade plan designed to reduce carbon emissions 10 percent below 1990 levels. “The benefits (of that plan) will be long- lasting and enormous — benefits to our health, our economy, our quality of life, our very landscape. These are actions we can and must take now, if we are to have ‘no regrets’ when we transfer our temporary stewardship of this Earth to the next generation,” he wrote at the time.

He couldn’t have been more right. But since then, he has reversed course, abandoning the very cap-and-trade program he once supported. This issue is too important. We need determined leadership at the national level to move the nation and the world forward.”

“I believe Mitt Romney is a good and decent man, and he would bring valuable business experience to the Oval Office. He understands that America was built on the promise of equal opportunity, not equal results. In the past he has also taken sensible positions on immigration, illegal guns, abortion rights and health care. But he has reversed course on all of them, and is even running against the health-care model he signed into law in Massachusetts.

Bloomberg speaks his mind clearly:

“When I step into the voting booth, I think about the world I want to leave my two daughters, and the values that are required to guide us there. The two parties’ nominees for president offer different visions of where they want to lead America.

“One believes a woman’s right to choose should be protected for future generations; one does not. That difference, given the likelihood of Supreme Court vacancies, weighs heavily on my decision.

“One recognizes marriage equality as consistent with America’s march of freedom; one does not. I want our president to be on the right side of history.

“One sees climate change as an urgent problem that threatens our planet; one does not. I want our president to place scientific evidence and risk management above electoral politics.”

Editorial, Bloomberg View, here.


Romney: How to Destroy Your Campaign’s Credibility in Five Easy Steps

Mitt Romney keeps telling lies.  The more Romney lies, the more you can see he is lying.

Now the Obama campaign has released a scorching video highlighting Romney’s strategy. WARNING: Watching this video may be dangerous to any lingering belief you may have in Romney’s integrity.


Does Romney Think Voters Are Stupid?


Women: What You Get from Obamacare – In Effect Now

















Close Race? How? How?

Obama and Romney are in an “exceedingly close race” according to the NY Times.

How can this be?

How can people vote for Romney when he repetedly has said he believed in different things that conflicted with each other, over and over.  And he’s been caught doing it, and challenged – then, continued doing it.

How can this be?

How can people who are women want to see other women go through what women had to do in the 1950′s if they accidentally got pregnant?

How can people not want the protections and compassion of the health care plan Obama created, which is already helping so many people in the U.S. even before it fully kicks in?

How can a country that really is tired of war, choose a president who wants to build up our military arsenal again (plowshares to swords?) and who jumps before looking into international muddy waters?

How can people believe the filth and lies that the Romney campaign tells in its advertising and at its rallies?

How can people who need jobs desperately vote for a man who crushed companies and outsourced jobs?

How can anyone trust a man who won’t be transparent about his own investments, income taxes, contributors – and only reveals what he must by law?  And – this is before he might become our leader.  What would he do if he ever got into the position of power that is the presidency?

“The economy continues to be the overwhelming issue on the minds of voters, with about three-quarters selecting the economy as either their first or second most important concern. Another 23 percent named the budget deficit as one of their top two issues. Most voters consider Mr. Romney the better candidate to deal with both of those challenges.”

The phenomenon is intriguing. People who have their own self-interest will suspend their belief in what they want and need to believe Romney will give it to them. It’s like people who continue to smoke but deny it’s bad for them.

When Nixon was disgraced, many Americans still admired him because to them he represented the American Dream. Romney, with homes, cars, offshore accounts, money invested in tax-free places, basks in his wealth. His wife brags that he built it. Yet he ignores the huge advantages he was born into, and assumes everyone can just call uncle when in deep trouble. No doubt, he’s wealthy. Americans aspire, it’s defining. Could it be that?

W T F.

How to explain to non-Americans watching our election, the incredible sheeplike nature of so many Americans, who appear simply not to think.


NY Times story here.


Polls – Nontraditional, Just as Good?

A marvelous sampling of nontraditional polling results by JMBOTRN*.

Couldn’t be worse than current polls.  NY Times Op-Art here.

*JMBOTRN is the design and illustration studio of Ted McGrath and Kim Bost. Natalie Shutler and Clifton Leaf of The New York Times provided research for this graphic.


Romney Would Let States Handle Storm Emergencies!

Mitt Romney, where would you be in a big storm?

Still calling for FEMA to be torn in pieces with bits given to each of the 50 states?

Romney believes states should handle emergencies like the current big storm.  Worse,

“The Ryan budget, which Mr. Romney praised as “an excellent piece of work,” would result in severe cutbacks to the agency, as would the Republican-instigated sequester, which would cut disaster relief by 8.2 percent on top of earlier reductions”

Right now – can you imagine each of the states affected by the big storm today trying to determine what’s best? How would that work, exactly?

Bad idea. NY Times editorial here.


The NY Times published my comment to this article:


I wonder if Mitt Romney ever considers who built the major roads his campaign travels on? Does he really think local municipalities could build and maintain the infrastructure he himself uses?

Oh! I forgot! He’s not one of the 47% he won’t deign to care about – he’s never benefited from the Federal Government.

Carole Bell
London, UK


Clinton calls Romney ad: “Biggest Load of Bull in the World”

Bill Clinton says the Romney ad is bull.

Watch for yourself!

Now it turns out that Jeep is reopening in China because they made so much money here they can afford to do it and they are going on with their plans here. They put out a statement today saying that it was the biggest load of bull in the world that they would consider shutting down their American operation. They are roaring in America thanks to people like the people of Ohio.

So in keeping with that, here is what I want to say I think this election is about. I support Barack Obama because I think he has got a better jobs plan, and a better jobs record, a better budget plan, a better education plan, a better health care plan than his opponent Governor Romney.


Republican President Eisenhower’s Granddaughter Endorses Obama

Susan Eisenhower  is a consultant, author, and expert on international security and relations between the Russian Federation and the United States of America. She is the daughter of John Eisenhower, and the granddaughter of President Dwight Eisenhower.

Why I Am Endorsing President Barack Obama

Susan Eisenhower

Four years ago, I left the Republican Party of which I was a lifelong member and became an independent. Not long after, I supported Barack Obama in the 2008 election for president. I made this decision determined to look at the issues not as a Republican or a Democrat, but as an American.

It is through that lens that I consider my choice in the 2012 election. Like many other voters who crossed party lines to vote for Barack Obama in the last election, I have watched the 2012 campaign carefully and listened closely to what the candidates have said.

I believe that President Obama should be re-elected.

Very few American presidents have been truly prepared to assume that job. Four years ago, Obama, a relatively inexperienced public servant, became the 44th President of the United States during one of the most difficult times our country has faced. The nation’s economy was on the brink of collapse. Our image overseas was tarnished, and our military was bogged down in two unpopular wars. I supported Obama then because I thought that he was unflappable. I saw him as a man with a keen intellect and a cool analytical head. I believed he would also be able to inspire those who had suffered most from a recession unparalleled since the Great Depression. In doing so, I reasoned, he would go a long way towards reuniting a nation deeply divided.

Obama was elected and took office, building on a number of stabilization programs initiated by the Bush administration. He took many other vital steps that reestablished our economic footing, including saving America’s automobile industry.

In the last four years, and despite the global downturn, America has come back from the brink. While pain is still being felt in far too many sectors of the economy, from a macroeconomic standpoint the situation in the United States is better than it is among our allies. According to the International Monetary Fund, today the United States is poised for 3 percent growth, which would make our economy the strongest of the other richest economies, including Canada and Germany. Other influential studies, cited in a recent column by Fareed Zakaria, shows that debt in the U.S. financial sector, relative to GDP, has declined to levels not seen since before the 2000 bubble. And consumer confidence is now at its highest levels since September 2007. The housing market is also slowly coming back. While there is still an enormous amount to do to assure a recovery, the president deserves credit for a steady hand during this dangerous and unpredictable time.

In the last four years, President Obama has also had to contend with a rapidly changing international environment. He ended the war in Iraq, was the first Democratic president to ratify an arms control treaty with the Russian Federation, and rallied global leaders to put nuclear security at the top of the international agenda. The Obama Administration has also been responsible for decimating the top leadership of al-Qaeda and introducing biting sanctions on Iran. Today the president has significant experience in managing foreign relations, experience that GOP candidate Mitt Romney and his running mate, Paul Ryan, do not have.

As a result of this campaign I am more confused than ever about what Mitt Romney stands for. I know little of his core beliefs, if he even has any. No one seems to agree on what they are, and that’s why I do not want to take a chance on finding out.

Given Romney’s shifting positions, he can only be judged by the people with whom he surrounds himself. Many of them espouse yesterday’s thinking on national defense and security, female/family reproductive rights, and the interplay of government and independent private enterprise. In this context, Barack Obama represents the future, not that past. His emphasis on education is an example of the importance he places on preparing rising generations to assume their places as innovators and entrepreneurs, workers and doers, and responsible citizens and leaders. He recognizes, as many of us do, that access to opportunities must be open to every American, regardless of race, ethnicity, or socioeconomic status. This is not an entitlement, but a sound investment in the future.

Barack Obama’s record as president has not been perfect, and there have been frustrations for all of us during this time. Nevertheless, I believe that he deserves four more years in the White House. If the voters on November 6 give him that chance, we should expect and demand, if necessary, that members of both parties work closely with him to find a way to avert the “fiscal cliff” and other pressing and possibly destabilizing problems.

As I said in 2008 and will say again: “Unless we squarely face our challenges as Americans—together– we risk losing the priceless heritage bestowed on us by the sweat and the sacrifice of our forbearers. If we do not pull together, we could lose the America that has been an inspiration to the world.”


Why Obama Now – by Simpsons/Family Guy Animator

The big choice in this presidential election, by Simpsons/ Family Guy animator Lucas Gray.