Hawaii Superdelegate - Dolly Strazar Endorses Obama

"It is time to pull together behind a single candidate who has the backing of a growing number of Americans," Dolly Strazar said, in endorsing Barack Obama for President.

"It excites me, however, to enter active campaigning for a son of Hawaii who learned the lessons of "getting along" that so dominate the values of the people of the fiftieth state," Strazar added.

Strazar, a DNC member and superdelegate, is the 279th superdelegate to endorse Obama.

Obama now needs 152 delegates to secure the Democratic nomination.

Carole

Another Delegate for Obama

Maine Congressman Tom Allen pledged to support Barack Obama today. Allen said both Obama and Clinton are "supremely qualified to be president."

Obama is the embodiment of change for Maine, and for America, Allen said.

"It is time to bring a graceful end to the primary campaign. We now need to unify the Democratic Party," he added.

Obama won Maine’s Democratic caucuses in February. His candidacy helped drive record turnout of some 45,000 participants.

Carole

Another Delegate for Obama

Maine Congressman Tom Allen pledged to support Barack Obama today. Allen said both Obama and Clinton are "supremely qualified to be president."

Obama is the embodiment of change for Maine, and for America, Allen said.

"It is time to bring a graceful end to the primary campaign. We now need to unify the Democratic Party," he added.

Obama won Maine’s Democratic caucuses in February. His candidacy helped drive record turnout of some 45,000 participants.

Carole

Could Michigan + Florida + Edwards Nominate Hillary?

A well-meaning American living in France asked this question:

"Let's say Hillary gets Michigan and Florida just the way she wants them, and Edwards endorses her, does that put her over the top because then she gets Edwards' delegates, right?"

She can't win. Period.

Just now, even on Fox News, I saw some clown named Dr. Frank - who is he, anyway? They didn't have the professionalism to say - he literally took off a shoe, said it's not over till the last shoe dropped, dropped his shoe onto the floor, and pronounced, "It's over."

Obama is 155 delegates from getting the nomination, as of yesterday. That means by any combination - superdelgates, or primary votes on May 13 or 20 (W. Virginia tomorrow, Kentucky and Oregon May 20).

By the end of the day May 20, there are this many delegates to be won:

W. Va. 39
Ky 60
Oregon 65

If he Obama gets any delegates in W. Va. and Kentucky, which Clinton is heavily favored to win, or any from Oregon, which he is likely to win, plus superdelegates over the next week, Michigan and Florida's votes won't be needed to claim the nomination.  Clinton could get all their votes and not win the nomination, but she won't get all their votes because of the proportional delegate system Democrats use. With Edwards' supporters' votes added, she's still not going to win, since Obama is likely to get more of them than Clinton will.

Here are the total votes left:

May 13:      W. Va.           39 delegates

May 20       Kentucky       60 delegates Oregon 65 delegates

June 1       Puerto Rico    63 delegates

June 3       Montana        24 delegates 

                 S. Dakota       23 delegates

Do the math. Clinton cannot win. Obama can claim victory May 20, and is planning to.

Carole

Who Do Julie Nixon and Susan Eisenhower Go For?

Republican party icons yield grandchildren.  And who do the grandchildren vote for?

Barack Obama!

Susan Eisenhower, granddaughter of two-term President Dwight Eisenhower, and her sister-in-law Julie Nixon Eisenhower, break their lifelong Republican tradition to support Obama for President, to become Obamacans, Republicans backing Mr. Obama.

Susan Eisenhower runs a public policy think tank, the Eisenhower Institute.  She said she'll campaign in the general election and promoted Obama in N. Carolina last week.

Another acronym emerges - RINOs (Republicans in Name Only).  Ms. Eisenhower rejects the designation, saying she'll stay loyal to Republicans, despite supporting Obama.  (Telegraph story here).

Carole 

Change and Split

Change works for Barack Obama. Americans do want change; even John McCain embraces the concept.

Do you know anyone who wants things to stay just the way they are?

Did you ever eat or drink something, without knowing how it's made, and realize it took special treatment to make it taste that way? Sometimes when people talk about wine, they say the taste is "complex." Makers of snack crackers know that a combination of different flavors offering salt and sweet make people want their products. Formulations for best-selling products can get bewilderingly complex.

The "mix" in the United States is changing. Confounding tradition, the U.S. has been complicated from the beginning. Yet most Americans would probably say they have an understanding of certain things about the U.S. and the people living there.

Not so fast. Americans wanting change may not be aware of the ways the U.S. has already changed, which in turn transforms what it takes to get elected this year.

I've just read an excellent explanation for why this year is so different from past election models. What worked in  1980, 1994, 2000 is NA; 2008 demands a new map.

How this happened gets as complicated as the mix making a good beer or wine. Big changes already there propel bigger change ahead.

Given eternal truths of politics, candidates at times may seek to polarize voters in a divide-and-conquer strategy. A banquet of divided voters already exists this year if you know how to find it. An intriguing study gives a cogent explanation of why we're already polarized, and how that's caused still more changes.

Two insightful stories: Check out why 2008's not the America you knew.

Then see how polarized are we, the people.

Carole

If I Were Hillary

I'd feel quite hurt.

But I'd get over it. I'd show the world what I'm made of.

Having labored hard to convince everyone I'm a fighter, I'd snap my fingers, call a press conference, and say: "Now I'm going to fight for Obama for President."

Too much to ask?

Let's take count. The votes are in, and Obama's almost there. There's hardly a big pool of votes now for grabbing.

The money's irritating. The most loyal supporters are maxed out on the legal limit. Those who might contribute are out checking weather balloons. Somehow, campaign suppliers and vendors must get paid.

Numbers, numbers. Why does it always come down to crunching in the end? I'd say it's a defining moment, but that phrase is taken, and turning point won't work in my favor.

How to exit? How to turn this to advantage. I love the Democratic Party. I don't want to go down as a spoiler. I don't want to go down, and I need to stay up. What can be done?

Action Memo:

1. I'll call a big press conference. They'll all expect sad soul-searching. I'll surprise them, I'll be the most positive person in the room.

2. They'll expect me to give up. I won't! I'll just switch goalposts. My new goal will be electing a Democrat in November, even if it's not me.

3.  I'll do it so fast heads will spin.  I'll still campaign in all the primaries, of course, but I'll do it for Obama.  Gracious yields points.

4.  I won't blackmail anyone. I'll do it by showing how positive I can be. If they think they've seen me reinvent, they ain't seen nothing yet. I can do this. Yes I Can!

5. I'll take the reins. I'll ask my supporters to work for Obama's success. I'll tell them we must beat Republicans. I'll motivate them. I'll lead them. I'm their leader.

6. I'll do such a good job of supporting and being positive and leading, Barack will offer me some nice plum and I'll deserve it. I can work really hard, and I will.

7. What will I do about Bill? I know, we'll work together to elect a Democrat. Bill's good at that. This will be good for him too.

8. That leaves the people who defected. I'll surprise them too! I'll tell them it's okay. I really will forgive them. Noblesse oblige. I can do this! It's time!

___________________________________________________________________________________________

That's what I'd do if I were Hillary. It could happen.

Carole

U.S. Congressman Brad Miller Endorses Obama

U.S. Congressman Brad Miller (D-NC), endorsed Barack Obama for President today. Miller cited Obama's leadership taking on the subprime mortgage crisis, and his commitment to fight for policies for working families.

“Senator Obama understands that he has the chance not just to win the election this year, but to be a great president. Americans know that Republican policies have failed because their ideas are wrong. Americans know that our government has not acted, to use Franklin Roosevelt’s words, as trustees for the whole people, but have taken the side of powerful economic interests on every issue. Americans want a fundamental change in course. Senator Obama has seized that opportunity," said Miller. Miller is a superdelegate.

Delegate Math:

263                Total number of superdelegates to endorse Obama

168                Delegates needed for Obama to win the Democratic nomination

Carole

Edwards' Campaign Manager Endorses Obama

Barack Obama got another big endorsement today from John Edwards' National Campaign Manager, David Bonior, a former Congressman.

"This year is a fundamental watershed year in American politics...like 1932, like 1960, when Kennedy was President, bringing that kind of passion and change in direction," said Bonior.

What pushed Bonior to endorse now?

"We have a strong messenger, who's attracted millions of new people into the political process. You can see it in the numbers, financially, the people who turn out at rallies, and in the campaign who've worked for him all over the country. It's very exciting," Bonior said, "And very real."

"The unique pivotal moment we may find ourselves in now," is how Tom Daschle called it, as the former Senate Majority Leader joined Bonior in a call with reporters.

Daschle described last Tuesday as "a critical day, fundamentally changing the race. Obama beat every poll and expectation. He continues a commanding lead in delegates, gaining support from superdelegates and national leaders like David every day."

Bonior said he endorsed Obama because he'd proven he can bring change to Washington, meaning better jobs and pay. "And Obama brings a movement with him, energizing millions of people who'd given up or were new to politics. That kind of passion, and that kind of experience, added to change," were cited by Bonior as why he endorsed Obama.

Why now? Bonior said he'd been waiting for Obama to show him the fight he wanted to see.

"What he's done in the last couple of weeks, but even before that, in standing up for this nomination, the way he handled some of the most controversial issues, showed he has great skill, poise, determination and spirit," Bonior explained. "I was looking for someone who'll get up and fight for working people every day."

Daschle said there's been an extraordinary change in voter participation in primary states, calling it phenomenal. "It's been two, three, four times greater. My favorite is Nevada, where we went from 9,000 voters to 117,000. We haven't seen this since the sixties."

"This is transformational," Daschle added, "It's real transformation politics, and history in the making."

Daschle put aside questions about whether the long primary contests had harmed the Democratic Party. "The real advantage to what's happened is that this spirited race for the last 14 months has energized our party and people all over the country. We've seen doubling and even quadrupling of participation levels in every state where we've had a primary, and we've had 46 of them."

"The beauty is that it allows us come back to those states with an organization in place, with volunteers already familiar with our organization, " Daschle said, calling the primary season, "just a dress rehearsal for the big contest this fall."

Mr. Bonior, asked if he'd spoken with Sen. Edwards, said they had talked last weekend, but he declined to reveal Edwards' position, saying their conversation was private.

It's possible Edwards is merely saving his vote to step in should something urgently require cooler heads. Bonior did say, "I'm hopeful all political parties will eventually come to the position I've taken today."

Reminiscent, perhaps, of "The apple doesn't fall far from the tree?" Perhaps first, it's the campaign manager, next, the former candidate himself?

Carole

Delegates? Math - By Obama's Campaign Manager

Barack Obama is only 33 pledged delegates away from achieving a majority of delegates, Obama's Campaign Manager David Plouffe announced today.

The math according to Plouffe:

Delegates in North Carolina: 66 Obama, 49 Clinton.
"This represents a net gain of 17 for Obama, and a chance it could be 19," Plouffe said in a phone call with reporters.

Delegates from Indiana: 38 Obama, 34 Clinton.
"Senator Clinton added four delegates"

"Our net is 13 delegates," Plouffe said. "Our pledged delegate lead is 172, the largest it's been in the entire campaign. This is bigger than it was in March and pre-Pennsylvania."

172 delegates overall are needed for the nomination, according to Plouffe, and "there are only 217 pledged delegates left."

"The night of May 20 this will happen, when Obama clinches the majority of delegates," Plouffe predicts.

Obama still led in superdelegate endorsements two to one over Clinton, after the Pennsylvania primary, and despite the controversy over Rev. Wright.

Pointing to the record-breaking turnout last night, Plouffe said, "It bodes well for Democrats in the fall. McCain is losing one quarter of the Republican vote despite being the Republican nominee."

Carole
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